Adjust models based on scenarios and constraints
Improve decision-making on credit, performance, or risk
Use Cases
Banking use case for assessing and managing credit risk: Causal scoring and decision-making
Classical approaches predict default without explaining its causes. ScalRisk models cause-and-effect relationships to understand risk mechanisms and inform decisions before they are made.
- Test 'what-if' scenarios on scoring variables and economic conditions
- Identify the factors that truly drive default risk
- Reduce bias and improve the robustness of credit decisions
Industrial use case for assessing and managing operational risks: Causal analysis of system performance
Classical approaches identify correlations without explaining the underlying mechanisms. ScalRisk models cause-and-effect relationships to understand the factors that degrade or improve performance and anticipate the impact of decisions.
- Assess the impact of industrial parameters and production constraints
- Identify key factors influencing performance, quality, or failures
- Reduce operational risks and optimize critical industrial decisions
The Problem
Risk teams face a structural trade-off:
- Complex models that are high-performing but opaque
- Simple models that are explainable but imprecise
- Inability to explain decisions
- Assumption of variable independence
- Biases linked to hidden factors (e.g., sector)
- Missing or incomplete data
Result:
- Decisions difficult to justify
- Biases in risk assessment
- Regulatory compliance limitations
The Solution
ScalRisk introduces a causal approach to credit risk.
The Projector™ platform enables you to:
- Model the cause-and-effect relationships of default
- Identify the truly determining factors
- Detect hidden biases in models
- Simulate scenarios with missing data
- Conduct robust stress tests
Each model is:
- Explainable
- Verifiable
- Compliant with regulatory requirements
What You Can Do
With ScalRisk, you can:
- Understand the causes of individual risk
- Improve your credit granting decisions
- Reduce unjustified rejections
- Identify systemic risks
- Implement early warning alerts at portfolio level
Results
The models developed enable:
- Performance equivalent to "black box" models
- Full transparency of decisions
- Greater robustness against imperfect data
Above all:
- You align performance and explainability
- You secure your decisions in the face of regulators
- You improve the fairness of models
Unlike Traditional Approaches
- You don’t just predict → you explain
- You don’t choose between performance and transparency → you have both
- You don’t suffer from biases → you identify and correct them



